Russia and Pakistan Growing Closer — India on Alert
The geopolitical landscape of South Asia is witnessing a significant shift as Russia and Pakistan grow increasingly close in their bilateral ties. Once distant players, the two countries are now engaging in defense cooperation, energy deals, and strategic dialogue—prompting India, a long-time ally of Russia, to monitor developments with increasing concern.
Strengthening Russia-Pakistan Relations
Over the past few years, Russia and Pakistan have taken steps to broaden their diplomatic and defense cooperation:
- Joint military exercises such as “Druzhba” (Friendship), held annually since 2016
- Energy cooperation, including discussions on the Pakistan Stream Gas Pipeline
- Regional counterterrorism efforts and dialogue on Afghanistan’s stability
This newfound warmth reflects a strategic pivot, as both nations seek to diversify partnerships amidst shifting global alliances.
Why Is Russia Engaging with Pakistan?
Several factors are driving Moscow’s outreach to Islamabad:
- Shift in Russian foreign policy post-Ukraine war and Western sanctions
- Desire to balance influence in the region and counter U.S. and NATO presence
- Economic interests, particularly in energy and arms exports
- Afghan stability, where both Russia and Pakistan share concerns about terrorism spillover
India’s Strategic Concerns
India, traditionally a close defense and strategic partner of Russia, views these developments with unease:
- Military hardware dependence: Over 60% of India’s military equipment originates from Russia
- Diplomatic tightrope: India maintains neutrality on Ukraine but sees Pakistan’s Russia ties as a threat
- Regional balance: Closer Russia-Pakistan ties could embolden Islamabad on Kashmir and security issues
Indian defense analysts are urging New Delhi to diversify its military procurement and deepen strategic ties with Western and Indo-Pacific partners.
Expert Opinions
Dr. C. Uday Bhaskar, a defense analyst, notes:
“While Russia’s move is pragmatic, India must reassess its long-term dependency on Russian platforms and look for a broader strategic realignment.”
Other experts suggest that the growing closeness may be more tactical than transformational, with Russia seeking leverage in its global diplomacy.
Conclusion
As Russia and Pakistan continue to strengthen ties, the regional dynamics in South Asia are evolving rapidly. While the partnership is not yet a formal alliance, it signals a shift that India cannot afford to ignore. For New Delhi, the time may have come to recalibrate its foreign policy and prepare for a more multipolar and unpredictable neighborhood.
